HPHR Paper™ · No. 08
- Author
- Dr Emmanuel Frantzis, DC, MSc, IFMCP, DACNB, DO(MP)
- Published
- Published September 2026
- Reading time
- 7 min read
- Level
- Intermediate
Clinical Question
One of the defining characteristics of the human nervous system is its remarkable ability to prepare for future events. Prediction enables us to coordinate movement, maintain postural stability, interact efficiently with our environment, and avoid potential threats before they occur. Rather than functioning as a passive receiver of information, the nervous system continually integrates past experience with present sensory input to generate expectations about what is likely to happen next.
This predictive capacity extends to pain. Contemporary neuroscience has demonstrated that neural activity associated with pain processing is not confined to the experience of pain itself. Brain regions involved in nociceptive processing become active during the anticipation of painful stimulation, illustrating that the nervous system begins preparing for potential threat before injury is consciously experienced.
Understanding this principle broadens our interpretation of pain. It suggests that pain reflects not only sensory input from the body but also the brain's ongoing efforts to anticipate, interpret, and prepare for future events.
Scientific Foundation
Pain Anticipation and Predictive Processing
Anticipation represents a fundamental component of adaptive behaviour. When individuals expect a painful stimulus, functional neuroimaging studies have demonstrated activation within a distributed neural network that includes the cerebellum, anterior cingulate cortex, anterior insula, prefrontal cortex, thalamus, brainstem, and associated cortical regions before the stimulus is delivered. These structures participate in prediction, attention, salience detection, autonomic regulation, behavioural preparation, and integration of previous experience with current sensory information.
Importantly, anticipation should not be interpreted as a maladaptive process. From an evolutionary perspective, preparing for potential danger provides an obvious survival advantage. The capacity to predict and prepare enables the nervous system to respond more efficiently to changing environmental demands while minimizing the consequences of potential injury.
This principle reflects a recurring theme throughout contemporary neuroscience: many physiological processes associated with persistent pain originate as normal adaptive mechanisms whose primary purpose is protection.
The Cerebellum and Predictive Processing
One of the most interesting developments emerging from contemporary neuroscience has been the expanding appreciation of the cerebellum's role in pain physiology.
Traditionally associated with motor coordination and motor learning, the cerebellum is now recognized as participating in a much broader range of functions, including sensorimotor integration, predictive modelling, cognitive processing, emotional regulation, autonomic control, and pain modulation.
Functional neuroimaging studies have demonstrated cerebellar activation not only during painful stimulation but also during the anticipation of pain. These observations suggest that the cerebellum contributes to the brain's predictive architecture by helping prepare the organism for expected sensory events before they occur.
Although the precise contribution of the cerebellum continues to be investigated, its involvement further reinforces the concept that pain emerges through distributed neural networks rather than isolated anatomical structures.
Landmark Concepts
Evidence from Human Neuroimaging
Among the landmark investigations supporting this perspective is the work of Stroman and colleagues (2016), who used functional magnetic resonance imaging to examine spinal cord and brainstem activity during painful stimulation and pain anticipation.
Their findings demonstrated continuous descending modulation of spinal cord activity during both anticipated and experienced pain, providing compelling evidence that nociceptive processing begins before a painful stimulus is consciously perceived.
Subsequent neuroimaging investigations have consistently demonstrated activation of cortical, subcortical, brainstem, and cerebellar regions during pain anticipation, reinforcing the concept that predictive processing represents an integral component of pain physiology rather than a secondary psychological phenomenon.
Current Evidence
Recent investigations have continued to strengthen the role of predictive processing within contemporary pain neuroscience while expanding our understanding of the neural networks involved in pain anticipation. Manda et al. (2025) reviewed emerging neuroimaging evidence demonstrating that the cerebellum contributes not only to pain perception but also to pain anticipation through interactions with sensory, emotional, cognitive, and predictive brain networks. Their work further supports the evolving view that the cerebellum should be considered an important component of distributed pain-processing systems rather than solely a motor structure.
Similarly, Wiech and colleagues (2025) proposed a refined Bayesian framework describing how controllability, predictability, and expectation shape pain perception through coordinated activity involving the anterior insula, anterior cingulate cortex, prefrontal cortex, cerebellum, and brainstem. Complementing these findings, recent work examining interoception and pain anticipation emphasizes the continual interaction between bodily awareness, predictive coding, emotional regulation, and expectation in constructing the pain experience.
Collectively, these contemporary investigations reinforce one of the central themes developed throughout this paper: pain is not simply a passive response to nociceptive input. It emerges through continuous interaction between incoming sensory information, previous experience, and the nervous system's ongoing predictions about the future.
Discussion
One of the most important developments in modern pain neuroscience has been the recognition that the nervous system should not be viewed simply as a system that reacts to external events. Instead, it continually generates predictions that allow the organism to prepare for future demands. This predictive capacity underlies efficient movement, postural control, behavioural adaptation, and responses to potential threat. Contemporary evidence suggests that pain operates within this same predictive framework.
Understanding pain from this perspective changes the questions we ask clinically. Rather than focusing exclusively on the nociceptive stimulus itself, we are encouraged to consider the expectations, previous experiences, environmental context, autonomic state, and predictive processes that continually influence how incoming sensory information is interpreted. This broader view does not diminish the importance of peripheral nociceptive input. Instead, it recognizes that pain emerges through continual interaction between sensory information and the nervous system's ongoing predictions about the future.
As with many concepts explored throughout this series, anticipation should first be understood as an adaptive biological process. The nervous system is designed to prepare for future events because prediction enhances survival. Appreciating this principle allows clinicians to view pain not simply as a reaction to injury but as the output of an adaptive nervous system that is continuously integrating experience, expectation, and sensory information into a coherent biological response.
HPHR Clinical Perspective™
If the nervous system continually prepares for future events, how might previous experiences, current expectations, and predictive processing influence the way nociceptive information is interpreted before it is consciously perceived?
Primary References
Stroman, P. W., Bosma, R. L., Cotoi, A. I., Leung, R. H., Kornelsen, J., Lawrence-Dewar, J. M., Pukall, C. F., & Staud, R. (2016). Continuous descending modulation of the spinal cord revealed by functional MRI. PLOS ONE, 11(12), e0167317. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0167317
Manda, O., Hadjivassiliou, M., Varrassi, G., Zavridis, P., & Zis, P. (2025). Exploring the role of the cerebellum in pain perception: A narrative review. Pain and Therapy, 14, 803–816.
Wiech, K., et al. (2025). How control modulates pain. Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 29(1), 60–72.
The Intersection of Interoception and Anticipation Related to Pain. (2025). (Complete APA citation to be verified during final publication.)